Articles | Open Access |

Integrating AI-Driven Predictive Analytics, Uncertainty Quantification, and Robust Model Validation for Financial Forecasting and Autonomous Decision Systems

Dr. Alejandro M. Cortez , Department of Computer Science and Analytics Universidad de Buenos Aires, Argentina

Abstract

Artificial intelligence has become a cornerstone of modern financial forecasting, autonomous decision-making, and large-scale data-driven systems. As organizations increasingly rely on AI-driven predictive analytics for credit risk management, financial stability assessment, cloud resource optimization, and autonomous system control, the demand for accuracy, robustness, interpretability, and reliable model evaluation has intensified. This research article presents a comprehensive and theoretically grounded exploration of AI-driven predictive analytics models, emphasizing their integration with uncertainty quantification, explainable artificial intelligence, reinforcement learning, and rigorous validation methodologies such as cross-validation and bootstrap techniques. Drawing strictly on the provided body of literature, the article synthesizes advances in financial forecasting accuracy, behavioral analytics in credit risk, adversarial robustness, cloud optimization, and distributed database performance. A central focus is placed on the often-overlooked methodological challenges associated with model evaluation, including variance estimation, data partitioning bias, small-sample instability, and dataset shift. By unifying insights from financial AI applications and statistical learning theory, this study highlights how improper validation practices can undermine even the most sophisticated predictive models. The article further examines how uncertainty-aware and interpretable models contribute to trustworthy autonomous systems, particularly in high-stakes financial and cloud-based environments. Through detailed methodological discussion and descriptive analysis of findings reported in prior studies, the paper identifies critical gaps in current research, including the lack of integrated frameworks that simultaneously address prediction accuracy, robustness, explainability, and evaluation reliability. The discussion advances theoretical implications for next-generation AI systems and proposes future research directions aimed at developing holistic, validation-aware, and ethically aligned AI architectures. This work contributes to the academic discourse by offering an extensive, unified perspective on AI-driven predictive analytics grounded in both applied financial research and foundational statistical learning principles.

Keywords

Artificial intelligence, financial forecasting, predictive analytics, uncertainty quantification

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Integrating AI-Driven Predictive Analytics, Uncertainty Quantification, and Robust Model Validation for Financial Forecasting and Autonomous Decision Systems. (2025). International Journal of Modern Medicine, 4(09), 13-19. https://intjmm.com/index.php/ijmm/article/view/84